Be Cautious of Getting Chopped Into the NFP Friday The early October action this week looks to be testing some resistance levels until this Friday’s NFP release, with choppy spikes in both directions on the way. What happens post-NFP is anybody’s guess, and depends on how the numbers look. As we wrote in our trading (more…)
Markets Setting Up For NFP Friday With the yields beginning to ease off a bit, and the earnings season not in until late next week, this week’s action looks to be testing some resistance levels until this Friday’s NFP release. What happens post-NFP is anybody’s guess, and depends on how the numbers look. In our (more…)
Inflation Peaking? FOMC Overshoot? Since our last trading plan published on Monday, 08/29, with the title “Don’t fight the Fed!”, markets have dropped significantly, and our models indicated a potential halt to that drop post the NFP data last Friday. Markets seem to be torn between the two powerful anticipations of Hope (that inflation might (more…)
Not-Too-Hot NFP to Heat Up the Markets Again? Since our last trading plan published on Monday, 08/29, with the title “Don’t fight the Fed!”, markets have dropped significantly, and our models indicating a potential halt to that drop. This morning’s NFP numbers came in as expected, making the markets sigh with relief – at least, (more…)
NFP Friday – Not Many Fireworks? The Non-Farm Payrolls numbers this morning did not really warrant any fireworks so far, despite the 10-year yields rising a bit pre-opening. The rest of the day’s action might mainly be driven by what happens to the yields. Barring any strong pull downwards, the bias remains to the upside. (more…)
Hot Payrolls Number Pushing the Yields Up This week’s market action tracked our trading plans almost to the letter, especially on a day-to-day basis! We wrote in our trading plans published this Monday, 01/31: “…Any remaining strength of the bulls will be likely tested from Wednesday, 02/02”. And, on Wednesday we wrote: “Today is that (more…)
Get Ready for the Tightening Ahead Friday’s declines and this morning’s jump up in the markets could be symptomatic of the nervousness the markets are going through regarding the upcoming Fed’s policy shift towards tightening. This speculation – back and forth – will likely continue until the FOMC meeting next week. Expect choppiness to prevail (more…)
When Bad News is Good News…Be Afraid This morning’s bad news in November NFP print is being treated as good news (“Yey! Now the Fed has to slow down tightening!”), it goes to show how the markets are now driven by the monetary policy tightening or not tightening. This speculation – back and forth – (more…)
NFP and ISM to Jolt the Markets Out of the “Stuck” Range? Non-Farm Payrolls and the ISM Manufacturing data releases this morning could potentially blast the markets out of the range (3010-3050) they have been stuck in for a while now. The weekly options expiration could throw a wrench into that, though, with artificial spikes (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for FRI 09/06 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) (please click here to view (more…)
