S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 07/07 The divergence between yesterday’s ADP payrolls numbers and this morning’s Non-Farm Payrolls numbers is giving the optimists on the markets dreams of the Goldilocks scenario (aka “soft landing” or “softish landing”) to unfold, while the pessimists on the markets are fretting over potential slowdown and the (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 06/05 The precarious rally of the last month has been baffling many, with the lack of the breadth of the rally while it still managed to keep going up on the run up in just a handful of big-tech names. With the major news cycles in (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 06/02 We started last trading week with our trading plans on Monday titled: “Debt Ceiling Deadline Likely to Whipsaw the Markets”, and these words: “Expect the approaching debt ceiling deadline to attract both bulls and bears to heightened speculation, resulting in some whipsaw movements until the (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 05/05 The strong Non-Farm Payrolls number on top of what Powell had to say yesterday after the FOMC rate decision should have pushed the markets down worried about “higher rates for longer time” but the markets seem to be celebrating mainstream good news for now. The options (more…)
Post-NFP Momentum Building Up…for Now In our trading plans published on Thursday, 12/22, we stated: “Our models reiterate range-bound trading while the index is within the broader 3810-3860 range on a daily close basis”. And, our plans published on Friday, 01/06, we stated: “Our models indicate continued choppy trading while the index is within this (more…)
NFP Data Mixed – Be Wary of Jumping the Gun In our trading plans published on Thursday, 12/22, we stated: “Our models reiterate range-bound trading while the index is within the broader 3810-3860 range on a daily close basis”. In spite of a lot of spiky price action since then, and despite the initial pop (more…)
Fed Pivot Hope Turned Into a Bull Trap; Approaching Support In our trading plans published post-NFP on Fri., 12/02, we wrote: “After 20 days of meandering around 3950/4000 level, the index rocketed out of the range to a session high of 4093.50 on the FOMC day, 11/30/22. This morning’s Non Farm Payrolls data could be (more…)
Fed Pivot Hope Turning Into a Bull Trap Nightmare? Day 3 In our trading plans published post-NFP on Fri., 12/02, we wrote: “After 20 days of meandering around 3950/4000 level, the index rocketed out of the range to a session high of 4093.50 on the FOMC day, 11/30/22. This morning’s Non Farm Payrolls data could (more…)
Fed Pivot Hope Turning Into a Bull Trap Nightmare? Day 2 In our trading plans published post-NFP on Fri., 12/02, we wrote: “After 20 days of meandering around 3950/4000 level, the index rocketed out of the range to a session high of 4093.50 on the FOMC day, 11/30/22. This morning’s Non Farm Payrolls data could (more…)
Fed Pivot Hope Turning Into a Bull Trap Nightmare? After 20 days of meandering around 3950/4000 level, the index rocketed out of the range to a session high of 4093.50 on the FOMC day, 11/30/22. This morning’s Non Farm Payrolls data could be suggesting that it could potentially be an “irrational exuberance”, and the futures’ (more…)
