Trading Plans for TUE. 9/3/24 – Range Breakout Imminent In Either Direction? (Day 3) With last month’s PPI, CPI, and Retail Sales numbers, markets are trying to parse the various macroeconomic news to figure out whether the economy is in a Goldilocks scenario heading for a soft landing or if they might be drinking Koolaid. (more…)
Trading Plans for FRI. 8/30/24 – Range Breakout Imminent In Either Direction? (Day 2) With this month’s PPI, CPI, and Retail Sales numbers, markets are trying to parse the various macroeconomic news to figure out whether the economy is in a Goldilocks scenario heading for a soft landing or if they might be drinking Koolaid. (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 7/26/24 As of Friday, 7/19/24, morning we have negated our bullish bias, and adapted a bearish bias with the index closing at 5544.59 – just less than half a point below our critical level that we have been publishing for the last few weeks – in the (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 6/3/24 For the last few weeks, the positional bias published in our trading plans has been: “It takes a daily close below 5200 for the models to turn bearish”. Friday’s PCE-driven whipsaw move saw the index briefly breach the 5200 level – printing 5191.68 as the session (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 5/31/24 Our trading plan published on Wed. 5/22/24, stated: “The new record high did indeed come, but the clarity of whether the move up is sustainable or not is yet to emerge”. Wednesday’s post-session blowout earnings from Nvidia briefly drove the markets into a euphoric frenzy coupled (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 01/29 Last week’s GDP numbers and the PCE numbers are further emboldening the market bull. This weeks flurry of major earnings and the FOMC meeting should set the tone for the next leg. Record high after record high, and the momentum in the economy, and the election (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 01/26 This week’s GDP numbers and the PCE numbers are further emboldening the market bull. Record high after record high, and the momentum in the economy, and the election year sentiment…all appear to be drowning out any murmurs of valuation concerns coming from some corners of the (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 07/07 The divergence between yesterday’s ADP payrolls numbers and this morning’s Non-Farm Payrolls numbers is giving the optimists on the markets dreams of the Goldilocks scenario (aka “soft landing” or “softish landing”) to unfold, while the pessimists on the markets are fretting over potential slowdown and the (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 07/06 The FOMC meeting minutes released yesterday, and the ADP jobs numbers this morning, and the consistent Fed speak…all point to more interest rate hikes (albeit at a slower pace) ahead and the rising yields are showing that the bond markets are bracing for that scenario. (more…)
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 07/05 Our trading plans published on Friday, 06/30 stated: “Cover any open shorts and avoid going short – next week’s holiday-shortened week could add more spikes to the upside to hit any stops on the shorts”. Unless something significantly changes in the FOMC meeting minutes due (more…)
