When Everyone and Their Grandmother “Knows” What the Fed and the Market are Going to Do… When everything looks and feels so obvious and everyone knows what the market is going to do (“Fed indicates they are going to lower the interest rates soon, and the market rockets upwards”, of course), it might be (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for Tue 06/18 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)
Markets Waiting for the Fed Tomorrow to Unwind It is the Fed’s announcement tomorrow that the market players are holding their breath for, even though what the Fed is going to do is almost a given. Any negative surprise could violently shake the markets, while reconfirmation of the market expectations could power it towards (more…)
Interest Rates, with a Sprinkling of China, to Drive this Week’s Market Sentiment With Chip stocks’ earnings on the radar, China is still one of the main factors weighing on the markets. The Fed’s stand on the interest rates are going to dominate all other headlines till at least Wednesday. With the markets hoping (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for Fri 06/14 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE SUMMARY: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)
Choppiness Driven by Geopolitical Headlines The overnight futures have seen choppy trading driven by the headlines about the oil tanker fires in the Strait of Hormuz – sentiment oscillating between knee-jerk sell-off and knee-jerk bid-up. In which direction the sentiment stabilizes for the session is anybody’s guess, and potentially determined by the technicals of (more…)
Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan for Friday, 06/07” will be posted around 8:30am EDT, Friday. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) Building on last week’s optimism, the S&P 500 index inched closer to all-time highs on reports that the U.S. and Mexico have agreed on a deal to avoid tariffs on Mexican imports. Gains, (more…)
Earnings to Start Heating Up or Cooling Down the Market Action With the earnings season’s first busy week kicking off, it is imperative that the last week’s choppiness would give way in one direction or another. The talk about an “end of the current bullish leg” or the “run for a new high” likely to (more…)
Market Action Has Been How It Should Be – Boring! For the last few days, there have been no real market moving headlines and the market action has been just “boring” (to paraphrase a few of our readers). This is what a typical “consolidation” phase looks like. And, if you followed the markets for a (more…)
This Bull Train Keeps Chugging Along Until some (any/if/when) major negative earnings story hits the markets, all indications in our models point to the high probability that the markets are going to consolidate the recent bullish leg and then extend it to new highs in the coming weeks. It would be wishful thinking to look (more…)
