When Everyone and Their Grandmother “Knows” What the Fed and the Market are Going to Do… When everything looks and feels so obvious and everyone knows what the market is going to do (“Fed indicates they are going to lower the interest rates soon, and the market rockets upwards”, of course), it might be (more…)
Results of Published Model Trades for Tue 06/18 Find below the detailed outcome tracking of our models’ trading plans for the day, as well as the results for the last month. (please click here to view the Outlook and Trading Plans published in the morning, that these results refer to) THE GIST: Medium-Frequency Models: (more…)
Markets Waiting for the Fed Tomorrow to Unwind It is the Fed’s announcement tomorrow that the market players are holding their breath for, even though what the Fed is going to do is almost a given. Any negative surprise could violently shake the markets, while reconfirmation of the market expectations could power it towards (more…)
Interest Rates, with a Sprinkling of China, to Drive this Week’s Market Sentiment With Chip stocks’ earnings on the radar, China is still one of the main factors weighing on the markets. The Fed’s stand on the interest rates are going to dominate all other headlines till at least Wednesday. With the markets hoping (more…)
Choppiness Driven by Geopolitical Headlines The overnight futures have seen choppy trading driven by the headlines about the oil tanker fires in the Strait of Hormuz – sentiment oscillating between knee-jerk sell-off and knee-jerk bid-up. In which direction the sentiment stabilizes for the session is anybody’s guess, and potentially determined by the technicals of (more…)
Tenth Consecutive Positive Close / Green Candle (On a Daily Open to Close Basis)? If the S&P 500 index closes higher today, it would mark the the tenth consecutive positive close on a daily open to close basis. The index is looking at some strong resistance levels in the 2635-2645 band which, if broken, could (more…)
Earnings Earnings Everywhere With earnings season picking up, the markets are likely to focus on the basics – the economic fundamentals of the companies underlying the stocks, barring any major surprises on the geopolitical front. While the move up is encouraging to the bulls, below average volume is a concern still. Since Wed, 01/09, our (more…)
Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Tuesday 01/15 Our medium-term models booked 4.92 index points in losses on one long trade. A second long trade (opened at 2606) is carried to tomorrow with the 12-point trailing stop sitting at 2599.74. Our aggressive intraday models realized a net profit of 1.47 index points on (more…)
Brexit Chaos and Draghi Speech Potentially to Eclipse Earnings Headlines today Geopolitical events (not involving China, for a change) today likely to cause chaos in the currency markets which would spill over into the equity markets today – UK parliament to vote on Theresa Mayer’s Brexit Plan. Added to that, ECB chair Draghi is slated (more…)
Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Mon 01/14 Our medium-term models stayed out of the market today with no trades triggered. Our aggressive intraday models realized a net loss of 11.68 index points on one short and one long trade. Below, you will find the detailed tracking of our models’ trading plans for (more…)
