S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 01/16

Earnings Earnings Everywhere With earnings season picking up, the markets are likely to focus on the basics – the economic fundamentals of the companies underlying the stocks, barring any major surprises on the geopolitical front. While the move up is encouraging to the bulls, below average volume is a concern still. Since Wed, 01/09, our (more…)

RESULTS of MODEL TRADES for TUE 01/15

Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Tuesday 01/15 Our medium-term models booked 4.92 index points in losses on one long trade. A second long trade (opened at 2606) is carried to tomorrow with the 12-point trailing stop sitting at 2599.74. Our aggressive intraday models realized a net profit of 1.47 index points on (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for TUE 01/15

Brexit Chaos and Draghi Speech Potentially to Eclipse Earnings Headlines today Geopolitical events (not involving China, for a change) today likely to cause chaos in the currency markets which would spill over into the equity markets today – UK parliament to vote on Theresa Mayer’s Brexit Plan. Added to that, ECB chair Draghi is slated (more…)

RESULTS of MODEL TRADES for MON 01/14

Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Mon 01/14 Our medium-term models stayed out of the market today with no trades triggered. Our aggressive intraday models realized a net loss of 11.68 index points on one short and one long trade. Below, you will find the detailed tracking of our models’ trading plans for (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 01/14

Earnings Kickoff! Key earnings season kicks off today, most likely moving the focus back to basics. The news from China about its economy slowing down is drawing increasing attention from investors. And, headlines about China’s record trade surplus with the US keeps the trade war jitters from fading anytime soon. Since Wed, 01/09, our models (more…)

TODAY IN THE MARKET – FRI 01/11

Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan for Monday, 01/14” will be posted around 8:30am EDT, Monday. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) Taking a breather from its longest winning streak since September 2018, the S&P 500 index closed today’s session mostly flat as investors keenly await the start of the earnings season next (more…)

RESULTS of MODEL TRADES for FRI 01/11

Results of Published Model Entries and Exits for Fri 01/11 Our medium-term models as well as the aggressive intraday models stayed out of the market today with no trades triggered. Below, you will find the detailed tracking of our models’ trading plans for today, as well as the results for the last month: Performance Results (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for FRI 01/11

Back to Basics Day? It’s About Time! Consumer Price Index and Hourly Wages releases this morning, and increasing talk about earnings (shortfall) likely to make the markets focus on the “financial” aspects of the financial markets today. The weekly options expiration would add its own push-and-pull around key levels today, resulting in sudden spikes in (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for THU 01/10

It is Still About China and Fed Today With the US-China trade talks ending yesterday and the markets awaiting details of any “outcomes”, and with Fed chair Powell slated to participate in a Q&A session this afternoon, the main movers of the markets today are still China and Powell. Beyond these factors, markets might soon (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 01/07

It’s China, Again, Today (and, likely again and again)! Our medium-term models continued the winning streak on Friday by booking 9.70 S&P 500 index points in profits, and our aggressive intraday models booked 11.70 points in profits, simply by following mechanical trading using the pre-defined entry and exit points as published in our trading plan (more…)