S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 01/11
This morning’s hotter-than-expected inflation numbers would be tempering the rate-cut expectations. The higher CPI numbers followed the stronger-than-expected Non Farm Payrolls number which was already stoking the stickier-than-anticipated inflation concerns anew. The earnings-season that is going to kick off tomorrow in earnest could show if the inflation is eating into corporate earnings. Nevertheless, other than Boeing-related weakness in the Dow, there is no indication of meaningful weakness showing up on the markets, yet.
Our models indicate no short bias for positional trading while the index is above 4715. As we have been cautioning for some time now, if you are itching to go short this market, you need to wait for a confirmation rather than jumping the gun.
4715 is the immediate support, and 4785 the immediate resistance to watch for.
Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans:
For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4796, 4776, 4765, 4750, or 4733 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4783, 4773, 4761, 4748, or 4731 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4793, and explicit short exits on a break above 4786. Models indicate taking these signals from 9:31am EST.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight – the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform’s bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) – depending on your risk tolerance and trading style – to determine the signals.
NOTES – HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker’s execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) For the execution of our models trading plans, a “break above/below” is deemed to have occurred when the index closes above/below (if you are trading by bar close) a specified trading level.
(iv) For the trades to trigger, the breaks should occur during the regular session hours starting at 9:30am ET. By design, they carry only one open position at any given time.
(v) Once a position is opened, the corresponding break level (long or short) becomes the break-even hard stop (if-touched) once the position goes into profit by the break-even number of points.
(vi) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance – USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #softlanding, #higher4longer, #higherforlonger, #softlanding, #consolidation, #newbullmarket, #endofyear, #2023, #2024, #boeing