S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 01/30
Last week’s GDP numbers and the PCE numbers are further emboldening the market bull. This weeks flurry of major earnings and tomorrow’s FOMC rate decision (and, Powell’s presser) should set the tone for the next leg.
Record high after record high, and the momentum in the economy, and the election year sentiment…all appear to be drowning out any murmurs of valuation concerns coming from some corners of the markets. Until it is broken, this is a bull market likely to continue on its run. On the other hand, some earnings appear to start bringing valuation concerns into the focus of investors but it does not appear to become a pervasive concern.
As we have been reiterating for the last few weeks, despite any concerns – however legitimate they may appear to be – there is no indication of any potential for any meaningful weakness showing up on the markets, yet. As we have been cautioning for some time now, if you are itching to go short this market, you need to wait for a confirmation rather than jumping the gun. 4835 is the immediate support level, and 4924 is the next major resistance level to watch for.
Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans:
For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate indecision and indeterminate state, and are sitting out the markets. No trading plans for today.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight – the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform’s bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) – depending on your risk tolerance and trading style – to determine the signals.
NOTES – HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker’s execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) For the execution of our models trading plans, a “break above/below” is deemed to have occurred when the index closes above/below (if you are trading by bar close) a specified trading level.
(iv) For the trades to trigger, the breaks should occur during the regular session hours starting at 9:30am ET. By design, they carry only one open position at any given time.
(v) Once a position is opened, the corresponding break level (long or short) becomes the break-even hard stop (if-touched) once the position goes into profit by the break-even number of points.
(vi) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance – USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
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