No Sherlock Holmes Needed to See the Bull’s Fingerprints All Around! Until some (any/if/when) major negative earnings story hits the markets, all indications in our models point to the high probability that the markets are going to consolidate the recent bullish leg and then extend it to new highs in the coming weeks. It would (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 04/15
Any Major Surprises to the Market Bull this Earnings Season? As the earnings to start to trickle down, all indications in our models point to the probability that the markets are going to consolidate the recent bullish leg and then extend it to new highs in the coming weeks – barring any major negative surprises (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for FRI 04/12
A Positive Start for the Earnings Season! The positive earnings from JP Morgan kicking off the season bodes well for the next bull leg on the horizon! Nothing more needs to be said here.As been advising here for the last many days, extreme caution should be exercised if shorting this market while the SPX is (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for THU 04/11
Traders Waiting for a Catalyst to Push the Markets Up/Down With the major economic releases for the week and the FOMC meeting minutes out of the way, markets are listless and looking for a thrust to move out of the consolidation range of the last few days. Once the earnings releases start pouring in, there (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 04/10
Can Fed Minutes Cause Concern to the Relaxing Bulls? The CPI came in higher than expected, the Fed has been vowing to take it easy on the interest rates. What does the Fed know that the markets don’t, yet? Is it something that can upset the current bull run? That’s the economic story line for (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for TUE 04/09
Markets Getting Ready to Unwind Violently? Tomorrow’s ECB Rate Decision, followed by U.S. CPI release which is followed by FOMC meeting minutes and, the ever-present US-China trade talk “settlement” hype…a lot of headline risk for the markets to unwind violently towards new highs (rather than downwards) present this week. What follows once the earnings start (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 04/08
Markets to Begin Going Back to Basics? This week marks the beginning of the corporate earnings season, with some economic releases sprinkled across. These are likely to push the markets to start focusing on the economic fundamentals, sans any continued/new hype around the US-China trade talks. Any lack of upside moves should NOT be construed as (more…)
TODAY IN THE MARKET – FRI 04/05
Note: Our daily “S&P 500 Outlook, Forecast, and Trading plan for Monday, 04/08” will be posted around 8:30am EDT, Monday. THE GIST (“THE WHAT”) Signs of progress in trade negotiations, coupled with a bullish jobs report lifted the S&P 500 index for the seventh straight session. Extending gains for the week and logging its longest winning streak (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for THU 04/04
US-China Trade Talks: Yep, Still (and, Again) the Trump Card Today As we wondered yesterday, with the ever dragged-on, “hopeful”, “imminent” US-China trade “deal”, are the markets drinking the Kool-Aid or real, nourishing tonic? Only time can tell! But, it is still (and, again) the trump card today (or, the Trump card, if you prefer (more…)
S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 04/03
US-China Trade Talks: Kool-Aid or Nourishing Tonic for the Markets? With no major economic/financial/earnings catalysts to push further, a phase of consolidation could ensue for the rest of this week and/or until more market relevant economic and earnings news start to trickle in…with, of course, the China trade talks intermittently used, again and again, to (more…)