S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 05/01

Markets Appearing Skittish – Tread and Trade Carefully With the new highs established, economic news looking like non-events, investors appearing apathetic to geopolitical headlines, Fed seeming almost irrelevant (for now), earnings looking to be in a Goldilocks scenario…there “apparently” is not much that seem to excite the markets in one way or another.  And, yet, (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for TUE 04/30

With the all-time Intraday High Broken, Bulls to Take a Breather?  CPI, ISM, and FOMC coming up ahead this week, and with the all-time intraday highs already broken yesterday, the markets might have risen too high too fast. As we pondered yesterday, “When (not if) the new highs are established, would the markets pause or (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 04/29

PCE Core this Morning Points to No Inflation – FOMC Rate Decision a Given and Irrelevant This Week?  The USD PCE Core released this morning points to no traces of inflation, potentially rendering the FOMC Rate Decision this Wednesday almost a given. With two record closes last week on the S&P 500 Index, the chances (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for FRI 04/26

Strong GDP Numbers to Help the Markets Scale New Highs Today?  We wrote yesterday’s morning “Only some unexpectedly bullish earnings headlines can make this possible”. This morning’s (much) stronger than expected GDP numbers could play that role opening the all time intraday high of 2940.91 for an attack today. If we indeed break the all-time (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for THU 04/25

Still Trying for New Highs? While the S&P 500 Index has registered a record daily close this week, the intra-day high record is yet to be broken. Only some unexpectedly bullish earnings headlines can make this possible. Based on the post-daily-record action so far, our models are not betting on it but are taking a (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 04/24

Record Intra-day High to Follow Record Close? As our models have been indicating, the S&P 500 index has made a new record close yesterday, with the help of the heating up of the earnings release. While the intra-day high record is yet to be broken, our models are not necessarily betting on it but are (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for TUE 04/23

Key Earnings to Start Heating Up or Cooling Down the Market Action As key earnings start to trickle down, it is imperative that the last week’s choppiness would give way in one direction or another. The talk about an “end of the current bullish leg” or the “run for a new high” likely to shape (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for MON 04/22

Earnings to Start Heating Up or Cooling Down the Market Action With the earnings season’s first busy week kicking off, it is imperative that the last week’s choppiness would give way in one direction or another. The talk about an “end of the current bullish leg” or the “run for a new high” likely to (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for THU 04/18

Market Action Has Been How It Should Be – Boring! For the last few days, there have been no real market moving headlines and the market action has been just “boring” (to paraphrase a few of our readers). This is what a typical “consolidation” phase looks like. And, if you followed the markets for a (more…)

S&P 500 OUTLOOK for WED 04/17

This Bull Train Keeps Chugging Along Until some (any/if/when) major negative earnings story hits the markets, all indications in our models point to the high probability that the markets are going to consolidate the recent bullish leg and then extend it to new highs in the coming weeks. It would be wishful thinking to look (more…)