Trading Plans for TUE. 2/13/24 – Sticky Inflation Quashing Rate-cut Hopes

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 2/13/24 As per our trading plans published on Friday, 2/9/24: “4975 is the immediate support level, and 5027 is the next main resistance level to watch for”. On that day, The index closed at 5026.62 – just under 0.4 points away from that level. Following the hotter-than-expected (more…)

Trading Plans for FRI. 01/12 – Market Attention Shifting from Inflation to Earnings

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 01/12 This morning’s muted PPI numbers made inflation less of a worry for the markets, and now the attention is shifting to the earnings season. The banks’ earnings announced so far today have been anything but exuberant, mostly due to regulatory charges. The earnings announcements next week (more…)

Trading Plans for THU. 01/11 – Hotter Inflation Impacting Corporate Earnings, Yet?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 01/11 This morning’s hotter-than-expected inflation numbers would be tempering the rate-cut expectations. The higher CPI numbers followed the stronger-than-expected Non Farm Payrolls number which was already stoking the stickier-than-anticipated inflation concerns anew. The earnings-season that is going to kick off tomorrow in earnest could show if the (more…)

Trading Plans for THU. 11/16 – Short Squeeze or FOMO Rally? Sustainable? Day 6

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 11/16 The precarious rally started post-FOMC has gained additional momentum with this week’s tame inflation numbers. As we have been publishing for the last one week: “Our models indicate 4385 as the immediate resistance, followed by 4415 as the main resistance for the bulls to overcome”. The (more…)

Trading Plans for TUE. 11/14 – Precarious Rally Accelerating Into a FOMO Rally? Day 5

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 11/14 The precarious rally started post-FOMC has gained additional momentum with this morning’s tame CPI numbers. As we have been publishing for the last one week: “Our models indicate 4385 as the immediate resistance, followed by 4415 as the main resistance for the bulls to overcome”. The (more…)

Trading Plans for THU. 10/12 – Fools Rushing In or Angels’ Crystal Ball? Day 3

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 10/12 Geopolitical risks, high interest rates, sticky inflation – reiterated by this morning’s CPI numbers, extremely strong jobs market, early signs of consumers beginning to scale back…yet, retail bullish positioning has increased this week again. Is this Fools rushing in where Angels fear to tread or retail (more…)

Trading Plans for FRI. 09/22 – Markets’ Mind Still on the Hawkish Fed

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 09/22 As our daily trading plans reinforced before the FOMC meeting yesterday: “…any indications of the Fed potentially pivoting to “being done” can spark a frenzied rally in the coming weeks but any unexpectedly hawkish indications could further accelerate the downward push. Nobody has the crystal ball (more…)

Trading Plans for THU. 09/21 – Market Bull Goldilocks No More

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 09/21 As our daily trading plans reinforced before the FOMC meeting yesterday: “…any indications of the Fed potentially pivoting to “being done” can spark a frenzied rally in the coming weeks but any unexpectedly hawkish indications could further accelerate the downward push. Nobody has the crystal ball (more…)

Trading Plans for WED. 09/20 – The Fed Inflation Fight Still On?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 09/20 While the interest rate decision of the Fed at this week’s meeting is a foregone conclusion, it is the semantics of Chair Powell’s presser that the markets are going to obsess over. And, for the right reasons, as any indications of the Fed potentially pivoting to (more…)

Trading Plans for TUE. 09/19 – Sitting Out the Markets Today

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 09/19 While the interest rate decision of the Fed at this week’s meeting is a foregone conclusion, it is the semantic of Chair Powell’s every word that the markets are going to obsess over. And, for the right reasons, as any indications of the Fed potentially pivoting (more…)