Trading Plans for THU. 4/11/24 – Inflation Picture Muddying the Waters for the Bulls

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 4/11/24 We started last trading week with these words in our trading plans: “A daily close below 5170 is needed for the current bullish bias to be negated. This level appears poised to be tested this week sometime, and whether it rebounds from there or not would (more…)

Trading Plans for WED. 4/10/24 – Sticky Inflation Causing Heartache to the Bulls?

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 4/10/24 We started last trading week with these words in our trading plans: “A daily close below 5170 is needed for the current bullish bias to be negated. This level appears poised to be tested this week sometime, and whether it rebounds from there or not would (more…)

Trading Plans for TUE. 4/9/24 – Waiting for the Inflation Numbers Tomorrow

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 4/9/24 We started last trading week with these words in our trading plans: “A daily close below 5170 is needed for the current bullish bias to be negated. This level appears poised to be tested this week sometime, and whether it rebounds from there or not would (more…)

Trading Plans for MON. 4/8/24 – New Quarter Started in Uncharted Territory (Day 6)

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 4/8/24 The much hotter than expected Non-Farm Payrolls numbers could be further dampening the rate-cut hopes, but the early market action does not indicate to any melt down from the bulls. At least, not yet. We started last trading week with these words in our trading plans: (more…)

Trading Plans for FRI. 4/5/24 – New Quarter Starting in Uncharted Territory (Day 5)

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 4/5/24 The much hotter than expected Non-Farm Payrolls numbers could be further dampening the rate-cut hopes, but the early market action does not indicate to any melt down from the bulls. At least, not yet. We started this trading week with these words in our trading plans: (more…)

Trading Plans for FRI. 09/01 – NFP Numbers and the Goldilocks

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 09/01 As we wrote in our trading plans published Mon. 08/28: “If we get a daily close above 4415 today then our models will flip to a moderately bullish bias. If not, they will continue to sport their bearish bias”. We got this confirmation with Monday’s close, (more…)

Trading Plans for FRI. 07/07: ADP and NFP Divergence

S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 07/07 The divergence between yesterday’s ADP payrolls numbers and this morning’s Non-Farm Payrolls numbers is giving the optimists on the markets dreams of the Goldilocks scenario (aka “soft landing” or “softish landing”) to unfold, while the pessimists on the markets are fretting over potential slowdown and the (more…)

Trading Plans for THU. 07/06: Tight Job Market, Rising Yields…

  S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 07/06 The FOMC meeting minutes released yesterday, and the ADP jobs numbers this morning, and the consistent Fed speak…all point to more interest rate hikes (albeit at a slower pace) ahead and the rising yields are showing that the bond markets are bracing for that scenario. (more…)

Last Hurrah of the Bull, or the Next Leg Up?

  S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 06/05 The precarious rally of the last month has been baffling many, with the lack of the breadth of the rally while it still managed to keep going up on the run up in just a handful of big-tech names. With the major news cycles in (more…)

Pivoting to Jobs, Inflation, and Interest Rates?

  S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 06/02 We started last trading week with our trading plans on Monday titled: “Debt Ceiling Deadline Likely to Whipsaw the Markets”, and these words: “Expect the approaching debt ceiling deadline to attract both bulls and bears to heightened speculation, resulting in some whipsaw movements until the (more…)